Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) - June 2, 2025
SIA Charts’ relative strength rankings help investors
identify opportunities in stocks which are outperforming their peers or index
benchmarks on a relative basis. Outperformance often reflects improving
investor expectations for strong company growth or sector growth. The rankings
not only help investors to identify which stocks in a universe are outperforming
and underperforming against their peers, but also when relative performance
trends are changing.
In today’s daily commentary, we are going to look at an
Electronics and Semi-Conductor Stock, Lam Research Corp. (LRCX). Electronics
and Semi-Conductor stocks has started forming initial positive moves and may be
an area to keep an eye on in the coming days to see if this early positive
trend can materialize into something more sustainable. The Electronic and
Semiconductor Sector remains in the Unfavored Zone in the SIA Stock Sectors
Report; however, it has strengthened to the top of that zone, now ranking 17th.
The sector has moved up 12 spots in the last month and 9 spots in the last quarter,
making it one to watch closely to see if this momentum develops into a
potential intermediate trend.
Lam Research Corp (LRCX) is currently in the Yellow Neutral
Zone of the SIA S&P 500 Index Report but is demonstrating exceptionally
strong relative strength, climbing 9 spots in the last week, 193 spots in the
last month, and 63 spots in the last quarter. This upward movement reflects
consistent increases in money flow into the shares. Currently ranked 136th out
of 505, near the top of the Yellow Neutral Zone, LRCX may be a candidate worth
placing on your watch list.
In looking at the attached candlestick chart of LRCX, we see
the shares trend upwards from the autumn of 2022 up until July of last year,
when it bumped its head at the $110 area. Then a sharp pullback ensued from
July of 2024 to August of 2024 when the shares found a temporary floor at the
$70 handle. The shares trended sideways from $70 to $90 for several months
before succumbing to additional selling pressure and a new leg down formed in
the late March/early April timeframe when the shares bottomed out at the $58.00
area. Now, most interestingly, we see the shares have gained some traction
since early April where a strong uptrend has materialized with the shares
currently trading in the mid $80.00 level. If this early positive move can
materialize further, resistance may be seen in the low $90 level where the
bearish gravestone doji candlestick appears in February of this year. This
pattern indicates that buyers initially pushed the price higher, but sellers
eventually took control, driving it back down to the opening level. This is an
important resistance level to watch to see if the shares can break above this
point. To the downside, support will be at the $70.00 area where the shares
temporality found a bottom in 2024.
In looking at the Point and Figure chart at a 2% scale for
an investment grade analysis, we see the shares form a bottom at the $58.00
level back in April. In the month of May we see a strong rising column of 15
X’s without even a 3-box reversal. It has broken above the long term down trend
(red) line at $81.41 and a prior resistance level at the $78.25 price point
with upcoming resistance next at $89.89. This will be an important level to
watch for. If the shares can break above this point, next resistance is at
$99.24 which coincides with the $100 psychological whole number. On the
downside, support is at its 3-box reversal and prior resistance level of $78.25
and, below that, the $70.00 to $72.00 area. The shares currently exhibit a
bullish Spread Double Top pattern and with an SMAX score of 6 out of 10, the
shares are exhibiting some near-term strength against the asset classes.
Lam Research manufactures equipment used to fabricate
semiconductors. The firm is focused on the etch, deposition, and clean markets,
which are key steps in the semiconductor manufacturing process, especially for
3D NAND flash storage, advanced DRAM, and leading-edge logic/foundry
chipmakers. Lam's flagship Kiyo, Vector, and Sabre products are sold in all
major geographies to key customers such as Samsung Electronics, Micron, Intel,
and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing.
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