Micron Technology Inc. (MU) - June 11, 2025
In recent days, we looked at an Electronics &
Semi-Conductor Stock, Lam Research Corp, in our daily commentary as stocks
which had begun forming initial positive moves. Against this sector backdrop,
today we analyze another example in the Electronics & Semi-conductor Area,
Micron Technology Inc (MU). This is the first time we have commented on this
name in our dailies. The Electronic and Semi-Conductor Sector is still in the
Unfavored Zone in the SIA Stock Sectors Report, however, it has strengthened to
the top of the Unfavored Zone at the 18th spot and has moved up 10 spots in the
last month and 11 spots in the last quarter warranting it as a sector to monitor
going forward for materialization into an potential intermediate trend.
Micron Technology looks to be one of the relative strength
leaders in the Electronics and Semi-conductor space as it just entered the
favored zone of the SIA S&P 500 Index report on June 6th at a price of
$108.56. Currently it resides in the 65th spot in the report showing extremely
strong relative strength moves up the S&P 500 report gaining 27 spots in
the last day, 94 spots in the last week, 314 spots in the last month and 349
spots in the last quarter exemplifying the consistent money flow increases in
the shares over the past little while. Currently the shares are at $114.14 as
of yesterday’s close which is an almost $6 price increase since entering the
favored zone last week.
In looking at the attached candlestick chart of MU, we see
the shares form a rounded bottoming pattern in the 2022-2023 calendar years
before finally finding a strong support zone at the $50 level in both the
September and December 2022 time frame. Then the shares formed a pattern of
higher highs and higher lows from that point onwards until a parabolic
formation materialized starting in early 2024 until it reached a ceiling at the
$145 to $155 area where the bearish gravestone doji weekly candlestick formed
in June of 2024. This pattern indicates that buyers initially pushed the price
higher, but sellers eventually took control, driving it back down towards the
opening level. This is an important resistance level to watch to see if the
shares can break above this point. What followed was an extreme downtrend when
the shares pulled back sharply to just under the $90 level. A brief sideways
trading range ensued from the $85 to $110 level before another bottom ensued
ultimately taking the shares all the way down to the $65 level. Now, most
interestingly, we see the shares have gained some traction since early April
where a strong uptrend has materialized with the shares currently trading in
the $115.00 level breaking above prior resistance at the top of the brief
trading range at the $110 price point.
If this early positive move can materialize further,
resistance will be coming in the $130 area but if the shares manage to the
break above that point, next resistance will be at the top of gravestone doji
candlestick at $155.00. To the downside, support will be at the $85.00 area
where the shares temporarily found a bottom in 2024.
In looking at the Point and Figure chart at a 2% scale for
an investment grade analysis, we see the shares were in a steady uptrend from
February of 2023 all the way to June of 2024. Then the bears took control, and
the shares fell off a cliff with a strong column of declining O’s lasting 28
boxes before finally finding a temporary bottom at the $87 price point. A
sideways trading range formed from August of 2024 to April of this year, when
the shares failed to hold support at the $87 level and ultimately another
strong column of declining O’s formed - this time lasting 23 O’s before finding
a bottom at $64.74. Most recently, we see the bulls wanting to take control as
the shares are now experiencing a rising column of X’s lasting 26’s boxes
without even a 3-box reversal forming yet.
Most interestingly, for technicians, the shares have risen
above the long-term downtrend (red) line at the $102.08 price level. There is
some minor resistance here at the $114.96 level but if the shares manage to
break above this point, next resistance is at $129.47, $134.70 and lastly its
all time high at $154.73. On the downside, support is at its 3-box reversal of
$104.13, then below that, the psychological $100 level also coincides with the
long term down trend line, which may act as support. The shares currently
exhibit a bullish Spread Double Top pattern and with an SMAX score of 9 out of
10, the shares are exhibiting very good near-term strength against the asset
classes.
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