Canadian Tire Corp. (CTC.A.TO) - June 24, 2025
Shares of Canadian Tire Corp. (CTC.A.TO) have begun to
advance within the SIA S&P/TSX 60 Index Report after residing in the
unfavored zone for the last several years. This upward movement is illustrated
in the attached SIA matrix position chart, which shows the shares rallying on a
relative basis into the yellow neutral zone of the report, now holding position
#23. This represents a move up 7 spots in the past week, 18 spots in the past
month, and 31 positions in the past quarter, making it the second largest
relative strength gainer over the past quarter behind Cameco Corp (up 52
spots).
On an absolute performance basis, shares of CTC.A.TO have
moved 9.47% higher in the past month and 25.85% over the past quarter. Compared
to the benchmark SIA S&P/TSX 60 Index Fund (EWIXIU.TO), shares of Canadian
Tire Corp are up 24.42% year to date, while the benchmark is up 15.84%.
In the first attached chart, the weekly candlestick chart
with Bollinger Bands at ±2 sigmas highlights that the shares are trading beyond
their usual statistical bounds. This may reflect the strength of the upside
move observed so far this year, although the position could be ahead of
historical averages, where a return to more normal metrics might provide more
balanced risk and reward entry points. As CTC.A.TO shares have shown relative
outperformance, price action may also reflect a breakout above long-term
resistance at $170, a level dating back to 2021.
The point and figure chart also reflects the recent rally,
with the shares touching trendline support in March before reversing into a
column of X and moving higher. This movement has resulted in the completion of
a double top and two spread double tops, the second of which coincides with
long term resistance at $182.22 near the current level of $183.95. Using
several vertical counts, point and figure resistance could be extrapolated
initially at $189.58, followed by $217.77 and $235.72. Support levels may appear
at the 3-box reversal point of $168.35, followed by $149.49 and the trendline
support zone between $140.86 and $138.10. CTC.A.TO currently carries a perfect
SMAX reading of 10 out of 10, which may reflect strong relative strength versus
a basket of alternative asset classes including cash, bonds, equities,
commodities, and currencies.
Canadian Tire Corporation, one of Canada’s largest and most
recognized retailers, has expanded beyond traditional retail and automotive
operations into developing sectors such as animal care and logistics
automation. Through a strategic partnership with Petco, pet focused shop in
shop installations have been introduced across most stores, which could support
the emergence of animal care as a growing business segment. At the same time,
Canadian Tire is supporting NuPort Robotics, a Canadian firm focused on autonomous
trucking technology for warehouse to store logistics. These developments may
signal broader efforts to modernize operations and align retail scale with
evolving technology infrastructure.
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