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Category: Equity Leaders Weekly

Hunting Tomorrow’s Leaders: A New Angle on Relative Strength and Deep Value Investing

This report challenges the traditional divide between momentum and value investing by demonstrating how SIA’s relative strength framework can help uncover deep-value stocks as they begin to recover. By integrating the CANSLIM model with tools like the SIA Relative Strength Advancers and Point & Figure charting, advisors may be able to shorten the typical wait time associated with traditional value strategies. Sector rotation signals, including the recent rise in the Drugs sector and Merck’s early-stage Point & Figure catapult breakout, provide timely, real-world examples of hunting tomorrow’s leaders before they become broadly recognized. Most importantly, this approach reframes opportunity cost not as an unavoidable trade-off, but as a risk that can be actively managed through disciplined, data-driven positioning.

Soft Commodities Offer a Cautionary Tale for Hard Metal Investors

While hard metals have delivered outsized gains over the past year with platinum up 87%, silver up 67%, and gold up 54%, the recent short-term bounce in the U.S. dollar has driven soft commodities sharply lower. Cocoa has fallen more than 50%, orange juice is down over 57%, oats declined nearly 24%, and rough rice dropped 18%. These swift declines illustrate how quickly prices can reverse amid currency shifts. This volatility in soft commodities provides a cautionary example for hard metal investors, highlighting the risk that even strong sustained gains can be vulnerable to rapid selloffs when market dynamics change unexpectedly.

Global Market Trends and Technical Insights: The Case for Platforms Over Poles

Global markets are reacting to China’s stimulus measures, rising commodity demand, and escalating European geopolitical tensions. In this environment, many stocks show steep point-and-figure poles that may indicate near-term exhaustion, prompting advisors to focus on stable platform formations for better risk management. Marvell Technology (MRVL), with its strong consolidation and AI infrastructure positioning, highlights the importance of identifying platforms rather than poles in today’s tape.

Can Breaking Involution Reignite Canada’s Energy Momentum?

Canada’s energy sector is built on the strength and resilience of proud workers who have weathered years of uncertainty and disruption. Today, many companies are working harder than ever but seeing less return, caught in a high-effort low-yield cycle known as involution. This quiet force drains momentum and hides stagnation behind layers of operational activity. Now, a new wave of strategic mergers offers a rare chance to reset focus, unlock growth, and help Western Canada lead a broader national economic renewal.

Balancing Alertness and Composure: A Point & Figure Perspective on Market Volatility

This report examines the recent rebound in equity volatility within the broader context of declining summer trends. While the VIX rose 10% amid a European bond selloff, long-term volatility measures remain notably subdued. A point and figure view of the VIX shows current movement still contained within a downward-sloping flag, suggesting that market stress, while notable, remains bounded. The analysis highlights the importance of balancing alertness to emerging shifts with composure amid ongoing macro uncertainty.

Markets Mispriced? Deutsche Bank Challenges the Consensus on Rates, Inflation, and the Dollar

As markets anticipate rate cuts and easing inflation, Deutsche Bank is positioning for the opposite — a stagflationary environment with structurally higher yields. Their short on long-term Treasuries signals a fundamental disagreement with consensus pricing, fueled by sticky inflation, political volatility, and shifting global dynamics. This report explores the technical and macro signals investors should watch as policy risk, market reactions, and historical breakouts collide.

From Market Data to Strategy: Growth, Volatility, and Low-Risk Opportunities

This report explores recent market shifts marked by a selloff in higher-risk segments and rising volatility, with a focus on growth versus value dynamics through advanced point and figure analysis. It highlights how SIA’s comparison charting tools provide clear insights into risk rotations within the equity market, emphasizing equal-weight indexes as a balanced alternative to traditional market cap measures. The performance and risk profile of the BMO Low Volatility Canadian Equity ETF (ZLB.TO) is reviewed, showcasing how it fits within current market conditions. Ultimately, this analysis demonstrates how the SIA platform can transform raw market data into actionable portfolio management strategies for a tactical, informed investment approach.

Strong Index Returns Mask Software Sector Rotation

Large-cap indexes delivered solid returns this week, supported by falling interest rates and continued strength in a small number of leadership stocks. However, a closer look reveals a key sector rotation underway, with software emerging as a notable area of relative weakness. While a few large-cap names continue to perform well, an increasing number of prior leaders are showing mounting losses. This report reviews recent index performance, the potential influence of declining rates, and the deteriorating leadership trends within the software sector.

Small Cap Equity Market Insights and Trends

Global equity markets face growing uncertainty as aggressive U.S. tariffs and retaliatory actions disrupt supply chains and complicate investment decisions. With the continuing trade disputes, the markets continue to “grind” higher with all the “noise”. In today’s Equity Leaders weekly, lets examine how the Small Cap Equity World has fared recently.

Navigating Uncertainty: Market Breadth and Country ETF Trends Amid Trade Turbulence

Global equity markets face growing uncertainty as aggressive U.S. tariffs and retaliatory actions disrupt supply chains and complicate investment decisions. Recent surprises, like the sharp pullback in copper prices, highlight how unpredictable trade policies are impacting markets beyond fundamentals. Traditional tools can struggle in this environment, making Bullish Percent Indexes useful for measuring broad market strength through buy signals across stocks. Alongside this, examining country ETF performances reveals where momentum persists and where risks might be rising.

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