BMO Equal Weight Global Gold Index ETF (ZGD.TO) & iShares US Home Construction ETF (ITB)

A week ago, stock markets in North America and overseas staged an explosive rally in the wake of last Thursday’s better than expected US Consumer Price Index Report, which suggested that US inflation pressures are starting to ease which could enable the Fed to at least slow the pace of interest rate increases.

This dovish shift in market sentiment also played out in bond markets, which rebounded as long-term treasury yields fell back under 4.00%, and in currency markets where the US Dollar retreated, lifting the lid off of precious metals, particularly Gold. The yellow metal also benefitted from turmoil in cryptocurrency markets where the FTX exchange went bankrupt, sparking a flight away from cryptos and into other alternative currencies.

The big question so far this week has been whether last week’s stock market pop was another bear market rally or the start of a sustainable rebound. On the positive side, US midterm elections returned a split decision, US producer prices and Canadian consumer prices confirmed that inflation pressures in North America are finally easing, and US retail sales beat expectations. On the negative side, China did not completely abandon its “Covid Zero” policy as some had hoped, which has weighed on commodities this week, and Europe remains in political and economic turmoil.

So far this week, indices have been in a holding pattern, not building on last week’s rally but not giving much of it back either. The US Thanksgiving holiday is a week from today and between now and then there is still a lot of scheduled news with the potential to rock the markets.

On the corporate side, earnings reports continue to roll out from major US retailers. So far retailer earnings have been very polarized with most companies that have reported either doing a lot better or a lot worse than street expectations, which has sparked significant moves in both directions within the group. Economic reports for the coming week are dominated by retail sales, housing market, and inflation numbers. US durable goods orders and Flash PMI reports headline a particularly busy pre-holiday calendar next Wednesday.

In this edition of the Equity Leaders Weekly, we look at recent trends in gold stocks and the homebuilding sector.

BMO Equal Weight Global Gold Index ETF (ZGD.TO)

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